In 1983 when Sudan People
Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A) was launched, it has a multiple faceted ideology.
The founding fathers had an ideology of a “New Sudan” which was both an
ultimate goal as well as a strategy to achieve an independent South Sudan. from the time of the SPLM/A founding in 1983 to August of 1991, SPLM/A
fought the war of liberation primarily on the “New Sudan “ ideology with the
primary goal of overthrowing Arabized and Islamized government in Khartoum. The
“New Sudan” vision or doctrine at the was to create secular, democratic Sudan bases
on equality where everyone counts, each religion matters, and every diversity
embraces. No Muslims first, No Christians first, NO Arabs first, NO Africans
first, but all Sudanese first.
At least that was the Sudan I was
promised when I became a soldier. No any marginalized person and other rational
being at the time would dare to question the SPLM/A idea of “New Sudan” because
it was a vision that fitted political narratives or reality of that era. It was an absolute paradigm meant to
radically transformed Sudan forever and was backed by majority of the marginalized
people. Thank to our late Dr. Garang and
his colleagues who have succinctly identified the fundamental method of
liberation struggle and found it in the ideology of the New Sudan.
Myself as a young boy living Ethiopia at time
was lectured on numerous times by late Dr. John Garang himself and by many
others. As a young citizen at a time, I was taught to believe the New Sudan
vision and for a good reason…. So are other high ranking SPLM/A generals
including Salva Kiir and Dr. Riek Machar among many others too believe the
vision of New Sudan. These founding fathers along with many Southerners embraced
the "New Sudan" vision. It was seen as an ultimate solution to Sudan identity
crisis.
From the Plains of Greater Upper
Nile to plains of Greater Bahr el Ghazal, from the mountains of Greater
Equatoria to Nuba Mountains’ enclaves to Blue Nile valleys and deep into the
heart of National Democratic Alliance and Beja Congress, humanity in its creeds
came together under the banner of a “New Sudan.” Thousands of men and women
heard this summation to action and they came in thousands. They fought and died
in millions believing that one day “New Sudan” vision will be achieved. That
one day, the Greater Upper Nile, Greater Bahr el Ghazal, Greater Equatoria, Nuba
Mountains, Blue Nile and all peace loving people of Sudan will eventually
establish a secular democratic government that respects Sudanese’ diversities.
However, political reality did change
in 1991. The “New Sudan” vision that our founding fathers crafted and treasured
was tested big time. Over time, political reality within the SPLM/A changed
with some folks questioning the feasibility and sustainability of the “New
Sudan” doctrine, some called for it re-examination. Others suggested that it
should be abandoned as an ultimate end.
Others suggested that “New Sudan” doctrine be used as a mean to the end of
achieving an independent South Sudan.
Before you criticize me for
bringing up 1991 political realignment, let me mention why I think it is
relevant to what is happening in respect to Heglig, Abyei, Nuba Mountains and
Southern Blue Nile and SPML/A North in general. In 1991, SPLM/A movement
experienced a political upheaval of titanic proportion caused by incoherence in
vision of which the “New Sudan” ideology was partially one element among other
political differences within the SPLM/A rank and files. Unfortunately, we all
know what happened. The SPLM/A movement’s clock turned back. I don’t want to
regurgitate history here, but, sometimes it’s necessary to do so in order to
refresh memories. The point is, SPLM/A
did changed gear. The “New Sudan” vision
in my understanding was changed from being an ultimate end and adopted as a
strategy to achieve an independent South Sudan. Refer to this link for your own
refreshments based on 2002 Nairobi Peace Agreement that brought SPLM/A and
SPLM/A Nasir together.
During the 2002 Nairobi Peace Agreement
between Dr. Riek Machar and Dr. Garang in Nairobi, Dr. Garang and Dr. Riek
Machar talked about confederate arrangement of cohabitation. By suggesting a
confederation of the Sudan, they were affirming a political paradigm shift from
that of a “New Sudan” vision as an ultimate end to one of a New Sudan vision as
the mean to the end. At least that how I understood it and many people share
this same understanding with me which makes me feel good that I am not a lone
wolf.
When Comprehensive Peace Agreement
(CPA) was signed in 2005, it was clear from the Abyei, Southern Kordofan and
Blue Nile Protocols what the outcomes were going to be. One, Southern Sudan was
going to become an independent country completely unattached from the rest of
the Sudan pending popular referenda on Abyei, Blue Nile and Southern Kordofan.
Second, everyone knew that Khartoum was not going to allow these three regions
to join an independent South Sudan primarily South Kordofan and Blue Nile.
That’s common sense knowledge and people should not pretend that there has been
a surprise to a CPA.
If South Sudan was unwilling to
address these regions in the context of CPA, people should have raised and
addressed them before signing the CPA in 2005. I mean, it should have been a priority to see
into it that referenda in Abyei, Blue Nile and Southern Kordofan were held
first as a part of a Comprehensive Peace Agreement before signing the CPA. Where
was the SPLM/A then when the issue of Abyei and Heglig were arbitrated at The
Hague in 2009? I remembered the SPLM welcomed and applauded the Abyei
Arbitration. Several members within the Southern Ruling elites (SPLM) were
contained with the ruling regarding Abyei and Heglig and some of them said the
following: “I think this is going to
consolidate peace in Sudan. It is a victory for the Sudanese people and a
victory for peace” Dr. Riek Mach 2009 at The Hague. “The ruling is a big
achievement, adding that it had brought back to Dinka Ngok their territory
which was claimed by the Meserriya tribe” Arop Madut, 2009. These voices and
many others from the SPLM/A indicated that they did accepted the outcomes of
Abyei Arbitration which put Heglig outside the
Abyei border which means, resolving Heglig issue falls in line with
other post secession issues.
With respect to CPA aftermaths, at least
the SPLM/A leadership knew what they were getting themselves into prior to
signing the CPA. Third, SPLM leadership in particular should have understood
that once South Sudan becomes an independent country, it will have to operate
within the international laws which bring me to Abyei, Blue Nile and Southern
Kordofan issues. As an independent
country, the Republic of South Sudan is now caught up in a political titanic
moment that no rational Southerner would want it government goes through. The
event in Heglig and its aftermath was a political embarrassment as well as a political
reality of what it means to be an independent country operating under
international norms. When African Union,
UN and the rest of the international community called SPLA Forces to withdraw
from Heglig, one thing became clear and perhaps should be a lesson learned for
many policymakers in Juba and that is, South Sudan is an independent country
and needs to play by the same international rules of which meddling in other
country affairs is not one of them.
This is important not only in the context Heglig
alone, but, it is paramount in the context of above mentioned regions in
general which bring me to this point. There are choices to be made here by
South Sudanese. The choices are between sustainable everlasting peace based on “an
absolute independent Republic of South
Sudan” and “Republic of South Sudan
pro-reunification of the Sudan” under the banner of the guise of a “New
Sudan.” Under absolute independent Republic of South Sudan banner, South Sudan
will negotiate and address the post secession issues in the context of the
absolute Republics in which both the Republic of South Sudan and the Republic
of Sudan have to refrain from pro militancy.
By this, I mean, South Sudan will have to make
a painful decision to cut loose it supports to other SPLM/A North. I said
painful decision become I too understand
why South Sudan would want to continue its supports to SPLM/A North if
indeed South Sudan is still ties with the SPLM/A North and so is the Republic of Sudan too needs to cease its supports to militias
operating in The Republic of South Sudan territories. Within the absolute independent Republic
frame, it is possible for both countries to resolve most of the pending post
secession border demarcation issues within the framework of the CPA which provides
a great chance to create a lasting peace between the Republic of South Sudan
and the Republic of Sudan.
The second choice as I said earlier
is that of the Republic of South Sudan pro-unionization of Sudan under a
resurrected “New Sudan” ideology. This option comes with some risks and
consequences that nobody who has lived and experienced war in the two decades
would want to relive. One, those who choose this option needs to explain to
almost 99.0 % South Sudanese who voted to create an independent South Sudan. The 99.0 % understood when they voted that
their future rested on an absolute independent South Sudan of which pro
unionization of Sudan under the resurrected “New Sudan” banner is not part of
it.
At least Juba needs to be clear and honest to
the people of South Sudan. Let the people know what the way forward. Is the
Republic of Sudan South a complete country? Or is independence of the Republic
South Sudan another political re-examination and/or realignment of the
resurrected “New Sudan” ideology? Let
the people know at least what the vision forward is. Second, if indeed the goal
still the New Sudan, then, it does makes sense to providing continuous supports
to the SPLM/A North in order to achieve it. If however, Juba settled for an
independent South Sudan, then, the Republic of South Sudan leaderships need to
re-assess its relationship with the SPLM/A North and if possible cuts loose it
connections with them for the sake of creating an everlasting and sustainable
peace between the Republic of South Sudan and the Republic of Sudan.
I am aware that my reflection on
this delicate political situation may not be share by others which is fine with
me. However, we are each entitled to our informed opinions. At least I am not
blindly following the Hawkish military hardliners in Juba which is why I called
all enlightened South Sudanese to stand up and start questioning the incoherent
Juba regime. There is nothing wrong with skepticism. By being skeptic, it does
not make us unpatriotic. Instead, it helps us unearth facts and educate our
people on what the facts are and how we can reshape our future as a people
coming out of a long war.
To all educated South Sudanese living inside South Sudan, wake up and
start paying attention to your government. You elected them and they should
only lead in a way that aligns with your views. I am also encouraging South
Sudanese in diaspora to take the higher road. Wake up and speak the trust. If
current government in Juba is misleading our people, we need to point it out to
our masses. Let Juba know we are not in support of what will take our people
back to unnecessary war with the North. If war was the ultimate solution to
Sudan’s problem, then, 22 years of war should have achieved that. However, from
my personal experience and what many South Sudanese know about the last war, It appeared that neither SPLM/A nor
National Islamic Front (NIF) was going to win the war militarily. Furthermore, let not forget an
ugly face of the last war. Give peace a chance here and tell Juba to slow down
its war machines and start working diligently to resolve the pending issues
through CPA framework.
Let me take this opportunity to mention that I
wish the issues of Abyei, Blue Nile and Southern Kordofan were addressed by the
both CPA parties before South Sudan became an independent country.
Unfortunately, that was not the case. At this point, the choices for South
Sudanese have to be made clearer which it’s why I argue that Juba needs to
formulate a new vision for the Republic of South which must align with the
aspiration of 99.0% of the people of South Sudan who voted for an independence
of South Sudan.
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